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Storm vs. Wings prediction and odds for WNBA Commissioner’s Cup

By Peter Dewey

May 29, 2022; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Storm guard Jewell Loyd (24) dribbles the ball against the New York Liberty at Climate Pledge Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Brashear-USA TODAY Sports
May 29, 2022; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Storm guard Jewell Loyd (24) dribbles the ball against the New York Liberty at Climate Pledge Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Brashear-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Dallas Wings are at home on Saturday afternoon, where they are 4-1 on the season, looking to avoid a third straight loss when they take on the Seattle Storm.

Seattle is coming off a blowout loss against the Las Vegas Aces, and the team is in last place in the Western Conference with a 2-7 record.

The Wings (5-5) are fresh off an 18-point home loss to the Los Angeles Sparks where they scored just 61 points in the matchup.

Inefficient shooting – especially by its top players – has hurt Dallas this season. The team ranks dead last in the WNBA in 3-point percentage, and two of its three leading scorings, Arike Ogunbowale and Natasha Howard, are shooting below 38.0 percent from the field on the season.

Can they turn that around against a struggling Storm team?

Let’s dive into the latest odds and my best bet for this game:

Storm vs. Wings odds, spread and total

Storm vs. Wings prediction and pick

This is just the fourth road game for the Storm this season, and they are 1-2 against the spread in that spot so far.

While Dallas has not thrived from an ATS perspective, the team is 4-1 straight up and 3-2 ATS in Dallas this season.

These two teams rank 12th (Seattle) and 11th (Dallas) in effective field goal percentage this season, yet Dallas somehow is fifth in offensive rating. That is likely due to the blistering pace in which the team plays at (No. 1 in the WNBA).

The Storm also play uptempo (fourth in pace), but that doesn’t matter for either squad when they are both wildly inefficient shooting the ball.

Seattle has the worst offensive rating in the WNBA, and while neither team is great on defense, I think this could be a slugfest with poor shooting all around.

The Wings have scored a lot of points this season (83.8 per game, fourth in the WNBA), but they have started to come back to earth with their shooting struggles catching up to them.

Given the fact that Seattle averages just 73.4 points per game, I feel comfortable taking the UNDER in this spot.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.